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US inflation expectations favors gold

Aug 13, 2021 05:37

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Gold extends its exciting moment from its continuing moment in today’s Asian session. Expecting the Federal Reserve to anticipate property purchases may be low, another reason for the solid dollar and yield to offset Thursday.

Importantly, gold bulls have stabilized the market following recent selling pressure that hit a low of less than four months on Monday. The United States received another inflation reading as the producer price index for July rose 1.0% from June, higher than expected. The PPI is forecast to rise 1.0% from May to 0.6% from June. On an annual basis, the PPI was 7.8% in July. The latest US and some global inflation measurements are running hotter than forecast, so today’s PPI number is not surprising to many. The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data for the previous day for July updated the latest tragic issues. Following this, a Reuters poll said, “The Federal Reserve will announce its plan to restrict asset purchases in September.” Moreover, US inflation expectations are in favor of policy hawks.

The U.S. Department of Labor said early jobless demand had fallen in recent weeks and US producer prices had risen 7.8% in the 12 months to July. Investors focused on US President Joe Biden’s spending plans. The U.S. Senate on Wednesday approved a $3.5 trillion budget plan following the passage on Tuesday of the $1 trillion infrastructure bill. “Monetary policies must work in tandem with monetary deficits in order to support gold, because both are pushing for inflationary pressures,” Wyckoff said.

Today the recession is a major theme for Covid-19 and central bank tapping. Infections in Queensland and Victoria are nearing a recent high, according to the latest viral data, while China registered 99 new cases and marked the previous day against 81. Moreover, Thailand records 23,418 new Covid cases daily, while the U.S. death toll is nearing a five-month high.

XAU/USD 4 Hour Chart:

Support: 1743.5 (S1), 1734.4 (S2), 1727.1 (S3).

Resistance: 1759.9 (R1), 1767.2 (R2), 1776.3 (R3).

Amidst all these above catalysts favoring the yellow metal, we expect a bullish trend for XAU/USD.

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