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The rush in Cryptocurrency

Aug 06, 2021 06:04

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The past year has seen a 21st century gold rush, and speculators have been falling over themselves for a piece of the action. The discovery of gold always brings a world in its wake and bitcoin – a virtual currency “mined” using a computer – is no exception. In recent years Bitcoin’s price has seemed to continue marching higher. But what is driving this growth? It turns out there are a wide variety of factors that continue to make Bitcoin rise in value.

Bitcoin Rush

Bitcoin craze seems to have recently reached new heights, triggered by a growing user base, price volatility and a fast growing network of companies related to Bitcoin. The expanding ecosystem that supports reports and protocol of large investments in “mining” equipment reminds us of a gold rush in many ways.

An analogy made easier by Bitcoin’s other similarities to the precious metal. It’s hard to say whether this excitement is warranted, but it’s equally hard to deny Bitcoin’s increasing relevance to businesses and the broader economy.

Bitcoin, along with other cryptocurrencies, may have implications not only for the technology industry, where much of the current action is concentrated, but also other industries from retail businesses to financial services.

Previous Resistance of Bitcoin

Bitcoin has seen extremely volatile peaks and troughs in its time. It peaked near $14,000 in June of 2019. At this point, Bitcoin experienced a hard resistance and it failed to push through this stage. If Bitcoin were to break through that resistance in June it would have likely triggered a bull market. Unfortunately, for Bitcoin bulls, it failed to do so and cascaded down to a low point of nearly $3,800.

In October, Bitcoin retested this resistance point only to fall back down. On November 4th, Bitcoin pushed straight through $14,000 and continued higher. And its reached 65,000$ on 1st April 2021. After it has been on the selloff mood and now it has been reached half more value of the last high and now it is trading at around 40,750$ on 28th July 2021.

Many investors have become bullish that the cryptocurrency will be able to retest that price point or even push past it. This speculation has lead to an increase in Bitcoin’s value.

The reason for rushing towards Safe-Haven Assets

Another reason for Bitcoin’s rise is the growing inflation of the U.S. dollar. While inflation is on average 2% each year, recent stimulus spending is poised to greatly increase the level of inflation and decrease the dollar’s purchasing power. With the recent stimulus packages, the United States has added around $2.4 trillion to the economy. This has many worrying about the inevitable decrease in the dollar’s purchasing power and the rise in inflation.

To hedge against this rising inflation, many have retreated from the dollar and have taken shelter in assets that historically have held value or have even appreciated in value. Typically, assets that people convert their dollars into to avoid inflation or volatile markets are ones that are scarce or are less volatile in general. These ‘safe-haven’ assets include things like precious metals, stocks in sectors that are generally less volatile, and more recently, Bitcoin.

Adoption as a Means of Payment

Another reason for Bitcoin’s price appreciation is its growing adoption as a payment method. Recently, PayPal (PYPL) announced that it would soon allow its users and merchants to buy, sell, hold, and accept Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as a form of payment. This news pushed Bitcoin’s price higher immediately. PayPal has nearly 350 million users who will now have the ability to easily buy, store, and use Bitcoin. PayPal also has well over 20 million active merchants who can now accept the currency.

Aside from PayPal, this has further implications. PayPal also owns the widely popular payment app, Venmo. Venmo has more than 40 million active accounts, making the accessibility to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies even more significant. While PayPal and Venmo are newer to crypto, there are a host of other applications that allow its users to buy, sell, and hold. Popular competitors to PayPal and Venmo, Square (SQ) and CashApp, also accept cryptocurrencies making the audience to Bitcoin even wider.

Rising Cost of Production

Another reason for Bitcoin’s rise is that as the size of mining network grows, so does the mining difficulty — which, in turn, increases the marginal cost to produce a bitcoin. Bitcoin mining requires a great deal of energy, and this has a real cost that must be paid by miners in their local currency. Because Bitcoin’s protocol mandates one block be found, on average, every ten minutes, the more hashing power directed at mining does not increase the rate of new supply – it only increases the difficulty of mining. Research has shown the the price of a bitcoin has closely tracked its marginal cost of production.

Conclusion

However Bitcoin is considered by professionals to be the new and new standard financial unit of the future. Many central banks have actually announced plans for bank-backed digital units, but Bitcoin is highly skeptical due to its shady nature. In recent times One bitcoin was currently worth five times more than a year earlier, while the combined value of all units in global circulation is almost $1.0 trillion.  Most central banks already acknowledge this. They’re just finding the right modality to allow for this new technology to be able to mainstream itself without creating negative consequences. Crypto is an ecosystem. It’s noisy and volatile. Having said this, volatility is not new. People who are active here understand full well the kind of risks that they’re taking on. You have the whole evolution of non-fungible tokens, or NFTs, as well as blockchain’s ability to redefine processes and flows. Because there are so many moving parts, there isn’t clarity around how this will evolve, which is resulting in diluted investor appetite.

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