It is important to always seek confirmation before taking a position for Forex Traders. This is also true when adding to the existing position when placing in the initial position. There is one thing in all financial markets, it is never add to a losing position. That means never “average down” a losing long position or “average up” a losing short position. This is even more important when using leverage. There is a very well-know saying, “your first loss is your best loss.” What this means is you are best served taking a small loss before it becomes a larger loss, or even worse, a loss that eats up a majority of your trading capital.
In order to avoid this major trading mistake, we must first understand why traders add to losers, why traders should not do this, and what they can do to stop it from happening.
Why is it said to be never add to a lose position
When a trader is in a losing position, the market inform him about he is on a wrong position. The market is the sum total of psychological, technical and basic knowledge. The market is the sum total of all investor knowledge and market ideas. These include Institutional money, sovereign wealth fund, hedge fund managers, trend following funds, business hedging interest and every participant large and small.
If a trader maintains a losing position after being told that the market is wrong, the trader is basically right in saying that the sum or the remaining market is wrong. In other words, the global consensus is that the world is round for the trader, while the trader insists that the world is flat. This can always lead to huge losses. Bullish markets tend to trade higher, and bear markets tend to trade lower. That market requires a substantial base or technology to change the trend.
Example:
As traders are losing money, they figure that if they add to the losing position, they can bring the average cost of the position down. For example, let’s say a trader wants to be short Crude Oil and he sells 1 contract of Crude Oil at $75.00. Crude is now trading at $80, and the trader is down $5 in crude ($5000). The trader then decides to sell short an additional 2nd crude oil contract at $80. The average short position is $77.50 (the average of $80 and $75).
The trader now only needs Crude Oil to go $2.50 in his favor to get to breakeven at $77.50, instead of $75.00. However, every tick Crude Oil goes against the trader past $80.00 a barrel is going to count twice a much, eating up available capital a double the rate. To make matters worse, markets that are trending in one direction, tend to continue to trend in that direction.
Not only did the trader cut crude oil to $ 75, but he also doubled the price back to $ 80. The losses are now accumulating exponentially if he continues to add to the losing position. In addition, he has now doubled his leverage in bad trading. Meanwhile, if the trader stopped at $ 1 or $ 2 a barrel of crude oil, he would have taken his loss and finished trading. When he is in a losing trade he can make big losses and let go of other opportunities, admit what he did wrong and move on to the next opportunity.
Admit about wrong if you can’t be wrong, you’ll never be right about the markets