What is Ethereum?

Ethereum is an open-source public service that makes use of blockchain technology to facilitate smart contracts and cryptocurrency trading securely without a third party. There seem to be 2 accounts available through Ethereum: externally owned accounts (controlled by private keys influenced by human users) and contract accounts.

Ethereum was created with the purpose to enable developers to build and publish smart contracts and distributed applications (dApps) that can be used without the risks of downtime, fraud, or interference from a third party.

Ethereum is also described as “the world’s programmable blockchain.” It distinguishes itself from Bitcoin as a programmable network that serves as a marketplace for financial services, games, and apps, all of which can be paid for in Ether cryptocurrency and are safe from fraud, theft, or censorship.

Ethereum is the second-largest cryptocurrency by volume, but its many uses can create a much larger learning curve for new investors than Bitcoin. 

Ethereum founders:

Ethereum was launched in July 2015 by a small group of blockchain enthusiasts. The group included Joe Lubin, founder of ConsenSys, a blockchain applications developer that uses the Ethereum network. Another co-founder of the Ethereum is Vitalik Buterin who is credited with originating the Ethereum concept and now serves as its CEO and public face. Buterin is also described as the world’s youngest crypto billionaire.

According to Buterin, bitcoin was very much limited in functionality. In an interview, he compared bitcoin to a pocket calculator that “does one thing well,” On the other hand, he said Ethereum is more like a smartphone with multiple applications you can use.

That’s the main premise of Ethereum. Same like bitcoin, it is also built on blockchain technology – essentially a distributed computer network that records all cryptocurrency transactions. But stands different from bitcoin, people can build apps on top of Ethereum.

In Buterin’s own words, Ethereum is “a blockchain with a built-in programming language” and the “most logical way to actually build a platform that can be used for many more kinds of applications.”

The Ether cryptocurrency was designed to be used within the Ethereum network. However, like Bitcoin, Ether is now an accepted form of payment by some merchants and service vendors.

Can Ethereum overtake Bitcoin:

Can Ethereum overtake Bitcoin? To answer this question, let’s first understand the difference between Bitcoin and Ethereum. Bitcoin is a system which allows the people to send value between one another without the need for banks. It is built on a technology known as blockchains, which are online ledgers and the transactions are checked and recorded by a decentralised network of computers which is known as validators.

Ether works in the same way as Bitcoin, but Ethereum is different. It is a worldwide software platform without any host, on which developers are building thousands of blockchain-based applications. Thus it means that these applications can run without being controlled by a company. Examples of this includes cryptocurrency exchanges, insurance systems, and new kinds of gaming.

In the centre of the platform is the idea of smart contracts which are automated agreements that ensure that money and assets change hands when certain conditions have been fulfilled. All transactions on the platform ultimately use ether, and the success of the platform is the reason for ether to be the second-largest cryptocurrency after bitcoin for the past few years.

Like any other popular cryptos, Ethereum was built on the basic principle of decentralized finance, because the products and services that live on Ethereum are available to anyone who know the access of the internet. 

Build Application: Smart contracts allows the creators to build decentralized applications that serve different purposes. These applications include financial tools like cryptocurrency exchanges, decentralized lending platforms, and data services which searches multiple cryptocurrency exchanges for the best prices. However there are also categories of dapps for things like buying and selling digital artwork, gaming, and developer technology. 

New Cryptos: The open source of Ethereum concept allows the developers to build entirely new cryptocurrencies on top of it, like Chainlink and XRP, which are known as tokens. Some of these assets come in the form of different cryptocurrencies you may have heard of, like Tether (USDT), Uniswap (UNI), or USD Coin (USDC).

NFTs: Cryptocurrencies aren’t the only digital assets that can be created on Ethereum – recently NFTs, or non-fungible tokens, are another example of something created using Ethereum. These digital tokens are powered by Ethereum and are used to represent ownership of unique items, according to Ethereum’s website.

  • Large, existing network: Ethereum are a tried-and-true network that has been tested through years of operation and billions of value trading hands. It has the largest ecosystem in blockchain and cryptocurrency.
  • Range of uses: Apart from being used as a digital currency, Ethereum can also be used to process other types of financial transactions, for execution of smart contracts and store data for third-party applications.
  • Continuous innovation: Big community of the Ethereum developers is constantly looking for new ways to improve the network and develop new applications
  • No intermediaries required: The decentralized network promises to let users leave behind third-party intermediaries, like lawyers who write and interpret contracts, banks that are intermediaries in financial transactions or third-party web hosting services.
  • Increasing cost: The growing popularity of Ethereum has led to higher transaction costs. Unlike Bitcoin, where the network itself rewards transaction verifiers, Ethereum requires those participating in the transaction to cover the fee.
  • No limit: Ethereum has an annual limit of releasing 18 million Ether per year but there’s no lifetime limit on the potential number of coins. Thus it means that as an investment, Ethereum might function more like dollars and may not appreciate as much as Bitcoin, which has a lifetime limit on the number of coins.
  • Difficult for developers: Ethereum can be difficult for developers to pick up as they migrate from centralized processing to decentralized networks.
  • Uncertain future: Ethereum continues to evolve and improve, and the ongoing development of Ethereum 2.0 holds out the promise of new functions and greater efficiency. But this major update to the network, however, is creating uncertainty for apps and deals currently in use.

Criticism on Ethereum

Like any other crypto, Ethereum is far away from perfect. Scalability is one of the biggest issues with the Ethereum network today. It currently operates using a proof-of-work protocol, similar to bitcoin. This means that cryptocurrency miners with purpose-built computers have to compete to solve complex mathematical puzzles in order to validate transactions. 

This has led to criticisms of both bitcoin and Ethereum from those who are worried about the massive amounts of energy consumed by their networks.

Another problem with Ethereum is the gas fees have become very expensive in the last couple of years because the network has become so popular and is therefore very congested.

Validators prioritise users who are willing to pay the highest fees for their transactions.

Still, some skeptics remain unconvinced by digital currencies like bitcoin and ether.

Conclusion:

In a nutshell Ethereum is an open-source public service that makes use of blockchain technology to facilitate smart contracts and cryptocurrency trading securely without a third party  which has several adavantages and is in the developing stage which is facing many criticism and to overcome that Ethereum is undergoing an ambitious upgrade called Ethereum 2.0.

Yellow metal trades upside on dollar pullback

Gold was trading up on Monday morning in Asia. Pullback of the dollar gave the yellow metal a boost. The Fed’s dovish stance on interest rates hike combined with lower levels of US labor force participation had gave some pressure to the dollar last week which helped in the yellow metal’s surge.

The most important factor for the rise of precious metals markets on Friday is fall of US Treasury yields. It fell despite stronger than expected employment payrolls data. Traders for the second straight day pushed out cash rate expectations on the view that central banks may be slower to move on inflation.

On the other hand, the latest rebound in the US dollar due to the solid NFP data despite of the cautious risk tone could question the gold’s bullish move ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech.

Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the US rose by 531,000 in October, the data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed on Friday. This reading came in better than the market expectation of 425,000. Additionally, September’s print got revised higher to 312,000 from 194,000. This data gave dollar a boost. Whereas Annual wage growth is just shy of 5% yearly, adding to inflationary pressures. .

TD Securities Head of Global Strategy Bart Melek expressed his afterthoughts on the US Nonfarm payrolls data and its impact on gold price. The key notes were “Gold rallied despite the US economy adding an impressive 531,000 positions and the unemployment rate dropping to 4.6% in October.”

“The reason for that was the unchanged participation rate, which remained at 61.6%.” “That essentially means that the labor force participation is still at problematically low levels, and we are nowhere near full employment.”

On Friday, the U.S. Congress passed a $1 trillion infrastructure bill to repair the nation’s airports, roads, and bridges.

XAU/USD 4 Hour Chart:

Support: 1795.8 (S1), 1773.5 (S2), 1762.3 (S3).

Resistance: 1829.2 (R1), 1840.5 (R2), 1862.7 (R3).

The precious safe haven asset remains on the bullish track amid the all above catalysts favoring the gold ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech. We expect a bullish trend for XAU/USD.

BTC/USD Weekly Forecast (08th November 2021 – 12th November 2021)

Fundamental view:

Bitcoin hovered around $60k this week. This hovering indicates reduced volatility and might be an indication of the explosive move. Bitcoin  enjoyed a bullish outlook in October after the anticipation of the approval of an ETF. Given that the products approved by the SEC were futures and not spot, the BTC community was happy with this move. A similar major development on a similar front is the entry of Grayscale Investments and its spot ETF filing. The Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) has noticed the filing from the investment company on November 2 and has 40 days to provide its decision on the matter.

Grayscale will be converting its Grayscale Bitcoin (GBTC) product into a first of its kind – spot Bitcoin ETF. This also seem to favor Bitcoin, investors seem to have moved on to a different space in the cryptocurrency realm after social media giant Facebook announced its rebranding to Meta on October 28. This move from the company is an attempt to position itself as a leader in the “metaverse” industry. 

Whereas The U.S. House of Representatives voted to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill that contains a controversial cryptocurrency tax reporting requirement.

The major economic events deciding the movement of the pair in the next week are Fed Chair Powell Speech at Nov 08, Initial Jobless Claims, EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change, Federal Budget Balance at Nov 10, JOLTS Job Openings and Michigan Consumer Sentiment at Nov 12 for US.

BTC/USD Weekly outlook:

Technical View:

Last week’s high was 0.87% higher than the previous week. Maintaining high at 64259.2 and low at 59534.0 showed a movement of 4725 pips.

In the upcoming week we expect BTC/USD to show a bullish trend. The Instrument is trading above the 200 Simple Moving Average and the MACD trades to the downside. A solid breakout above 63673.2 may open a clean path towards 66328.8 and may take a way up to 68398.4. Should 58948.0 prove to be unreliable support, the BTCUSD may sink downwards to 56878.4 and 54222.8 respectively. In H4 chart, if breakout of the Symmetrical triangle is to the upside then we can expect a bullish trend. Also to be noted bullish harami formation raises our expectation of uptrend for the pair.

Preference
Buy: 61605.6 target at 66327.8 and stop loss at 58943.4

 

Alternate Scenario
Sell: 58943.4 target at 54223.7 and stop loss at 61605.6

XAU/USD Weekly Forecast (08th November 2021 – 12th November 2021)

Fundamental view:

Gold struggled to find direction in the first half of the week and fell on Wednesday but later clinged on its gain in the second half of the week. As it was expected, the Fed left its benchmark interest rate, the target range for federal funds, unchanged at 0%-0.25% and had unveiled that it will start reducing asset purchases by $15 billion per month starting mid-November. The dollar showed its strength and against many major currencies but gold managed to gain traction amid falling T-bond yields. US Statistics reported that Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 531,000 in October, surpassing analysts’ estimate of 425,000. The dollar managed to preserve its bullish bias after this data but gold stayed resilient with the 10-year yield breaking on Friday. 

As per the recent survey, Analysts see room for gold prices to move higher, a few still note that the market faces significant overhead resistance. For gold to regain its luster and attract new momentum, prices have to ultimately push above $1,835 an ounce, according to some analysts.              

The major economic events deciding the movement of the pair in the next week are Fed Chair Powell Speech at Nov 08, Initial Jobless Claims, EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change, Federal Budget Balance at Nov 10, JOLTS Job Openings and Michigan Consumer Sentiment at Nov 12 for US.

XAU/USD Weekly outlook:

Technical View:

Last week’s high was 0.44% higher than the previous week. Maintaining high at 1818.3 and low at 1758.6 showed a movement of 597 pips.

In the upcoming week we expect XAU/USD to show a bullish trend. The Instrument is trading above the 200 Simple Moving Average and the MACD trades to the upside. A solid breakout above 1838.0 may open a clean path towards 1858.0 and may take a way up to 1897.7. Should 1778.3 prove to be unreliable support, the XAUUSD may sink downwards 1738.6 and 1718.6 respectively. In H4 chart Extended-W pattern formation frames bullish outlook. Hammer formation raises expectation of uptrend for the pair.

Preference
Buy: 1817.5 target at 1875.3 and stop loss at 1775.7

 

Alternate Scenario
Sell: 1775.7 target at 1719.6 and stop loss at 1817.5