Trading Strategies

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False Breakout Trading Strategy

Jul 09, 2020 06:30

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False breakout trading strategy allows the traders to trade horizontal support and resistance levelsĀ when price makes a breakout only to fail later.

False Breakouts Happen and We need to identify them :

  • At times, when the price will break a support and resistance level on chart this level in broken.
  • It was just a price spike and later the resistance and support will be obeyed.
  • Now, the false breakout trading strategy helps you to trade horizontal support and resistance levelsĀ when price makes a breakout only to fail later.
  • Many traders get stopped out due to this breakout and walk away too early.

 

Timeframes :Ā  Any

Instrument : You can use this strategy for any Instruments.

We need is to know what kind of breakout chart patternĀ you to look for when there is a false breakout

  • Now, usually when this false breakout happens, itā€™s a very good signal that the market will head in the other direction.
  • So if we initial breakout trade stopped out, donā€™t walk away.
  • We can trade this false breakout using aĀ false breakout pattern.

 

Steps to Identify the Breakout Chart Patterns :

  • Market should be in the uptrend making higher highs.
  • These higher highs are in fact acting as resistance levels and you need to identify and know them because in the process of price going higher it would usually pullback and then again heading up and breaking the nearest higher high to create another new higher high.
  • Wait until for the breakout happens. The breakout candlestick should close above the resistance levelĀ and looking like a genuine breakout.
  • But the 2nd CandlestickĀ after the breakout should be a bearish or very bearish reversal candlestick pattern andĀ it should ideally close near or just below the resistance level it just broke.
  • Market should be in a downtrend making lower lows.
  • These lower lows are in fact acting as support levels and you need to identify and know them because in the process of price going lower usually rally back up temporarily and then head down again breaking the nearest lower lowsĀ to create another new lower low.
  • Wait until the breakout to happen. The breakout candlestick should close below the support level thus making it look like a genuine breakout.
  • But the 2nd candlestick after the breakout should be a bullish or very bullish reversal candlestick pattern and it should ideally close near or just above the resistance level it just broke.

The Trading Rules for False Breakout Trade :

  • You need to place a sell stop pending order 2-3 pips below the low of the bearish candlestick.
  • Your stop loss should be 3-5 pips above the high of that bearish candlestick.
  • Use Previous swing lows as your Take Profit 1, Take Profit 2 levels etc.

 

Trail your stop loss behind lower swing highs and lock in your profits as the trade goes profitable.

  • Place a buy stop pending order 2-3 pips above the high of the bullish candlestick.
  • Your stop loss should be 3-5 pips below the low of that bullish candlestick.
  • Use Previous swing highs as your Take Profit 1, Take Profit 2 levels etc.

 

Trail stop your stop loss behind higher swing lows and lock in your profits as the trade goes profitable.

Pros :

  • The False breakout chart pattern tend to go on for a very long time hence you can make a good profitĀ  when you are trading in larger time frames like the 4hr and the daily charts.
  • Simple even beginners can use it.
  • Good Risk Reward ratio. You can risk 40 pips for a 240 pips profit.

Cons :

  • You can easily miss the false breakout trading strategy by following the other chart patterns.
  • At times false breakout signal can be actually false. Which means you will suffer a loss even though the trading setup was perfect. As an example, there might be a price spike on the 3 candlestick after the breakout which can knock out your stop loss. Or there will be false breakout signal and you will get into a trade and then a few candlesticks later the real breakout happens! Such is the nature of the forex market.
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