Articles

Topics from basics to advanced to enhance your trading skill

How Gold Affects Currencies Globally

Nov 03, 2021 07:46

|

One of the most widely discussed metals is Gold and many people look at the news due to its outstanding role in both the investment and consumer world.  Its value as a commodity has been increasing since the past decade.  Even during the times of kings and kingdoms, the prosperity of that kingdom was directly proportional to how much gold the king owned. However, through the years, even after currencies were created that are in use today, gold serves many purposes in the economy which includes how it affects the value of these different currencies. Even though gold is no longer used as a primary form of currency in today’s world, it continues to have a strong impact on the value of those currencies. Moreover, there is a strong correlation between its value and the strength of currencies trading on foreign exchanges.

To know in depth the relationship between gold and foreign exchange trading, lets look on the following points.

How Gold can be a Currency

Gold is considered as a currency under free market system and it has a price that compares to other exchanges such as the US dollar, euro and Japanese yen. Gold works in many ways just like other currencies. Gold can be bought and stored, but it is not usually used as a direct payment method. However, it is very liquid and can be converted into cash in any currency relatively easily. There are times when gold moves higher and even there are times when other currencies or property classes generally perform better. Gold can be expected to perform better when confidence in paper currencies declines, during wars and when stocks face significant losses.

Long time ago, Gold was used as Backup currencies

Long time ago in Byzantine Empire, gold was used to support national currencies – that is, to be considered legal in their own country. Gold was used as a world reserve currency until much of the 20th century; The United States used the gold standard until 1971, when President Nixon stopped it.

Until the gold standard was dropped, countries were not be able to print their Fiat currencies. Despite after that, Paper money had to be backed up with an equal amount of gold in their reserves (then, as now, nations had gold and gold in hand). Although the quality of gold in developed countries has been declining for a long time, some economists believe that we should return to it due to the volatility of the US dollar and other currencies; they want countries to control the amount of money they are allowed to print.

The state of the US and global economy also has a unique relationship with the yellow metal as it tends to be in a weakened state when gold is thriving. Dollar as a catalyst that pushes and pulls gold, due to the fact that there is a long-standing relationship between the two, it can be said that the yellow metal also has an affect on the US dollar. Most recently, the greenback has been lower than in previous years and has lost some of its spotlight to gold. Since the precious metal has a negative correlation to a thriving US dollar, the greenback’s recent decline has been supporting the yellow metal and its upward price movements. When the dollar is down, investors turn towards gold as a safe haven, which has the tendency to keep the greenback in a stagnant position. Additionally, gold has interesting currency-like tendencies. Bullion notes that gold retains its purchasing power yearly. The yellow metal can be bought and stored and it has the ability to be converted into money in a variety of currencies, which is currently appealing to gold investors since the dollar is relatively stagnant and precious metals prices are on the rise. 

On the flip side, when the US dollar is thriving, gold tends to decline due to the fact that it becomes too expensive to hold for investors who are not US-based. 

Interestingly, the price of gold coincided with the introduction of the euro in January 1999. The Euro has generally risen in value versus the U.S. Dollar due in part to a relatively modest currency printing program overseen by the European Central Bank and  the euro is one of the most important alternatives to the U.S. dollar among fiat currencies. This is why there is often a positive link between the euro and gold: both assets have negative correlation to the greenback. However, the relationship is far from being a perfect correlation. This is because gold is not merely an alternative against the U.S. dollar, but also against the current monetary system based on fiat currencies. Therefore, in some cases the euro and the dollar both lose a ground against gold.

Another interesting link between gold and currencies involves the value of the Australian dollar. When the value of gold rises, the Australian dollar generally rises. Basically, this connection is related to the fact that Australia has a significant gold reserve. Moreover, Australia is the net exporter of gold, and the precious metal accounts for a significant percentage of its national exports. These factors make the value of the Australian dollar particularly volatile in the price of gold, although its value is affected by the price of oil and other major commodities. As a result, the Aussie is often referred to as a commodity by forex traders.

In 2000, the Swiss Franc became the last of the national paper currencies to be taken off the time-honored gold standard. Before that time, the Swiss Franc had the status of being a safe haven currency that maintained intrinsic value when times became difficult since it was freely convertible into gold. The Swiss currency still benefits from safe haven buying to a lesser extend due to its long history of political stability, neutrality and abstention from conflict. Nevertheless, the currency’s former close relationship to the value of gold has declined considerably.

Countries that Import and Export gold

Due to the fact that the value of a country’s currency is strongly tied to the value of its gold imports and exports, that nation cannot avoid being affected by the yellow metal’s price movements. Because of this, a country that exports gold or has access to gold reserves will experience an uptick in the strength of its currency when metal’s price rises, since this increases the value of the country’s total exports. 

This means that when the price of gold climbs, it creates a trade surplus or inevitably helps those nations offset a trade deficit. However, countries that import large amounts of the yellow metal will generally have a weaker currency when the price of gold goes up. 

Countries that specialize in producing gold products, but lack their own reserves, will be large importers of gold. In return, these regions end up being particularly susceptible to growing gold prices.  Additionally, when central banks buy gold, it affects the supply and demand of the domestic currency, which could escalate to the creation of inflation. This is mostly because of the fact that banks rely on printing more money to purchase gold, and thereby create an excess supply of the fiat currency.

Conclusion

There once was a time that gold was the principal currency between foreign nations. Even though it is no longer used as currency, it can still have a strong effect on a country’s currency and in turn the country’s economy. One thing that we can say for certain with regards to gold’s future, with the world’s population ever increasing, is that the demand for gold is going up also, whilst supply is going down. As such, it is a pretty safe bet that for the long term, the price of gold will remain stable and most likely increase.

Loading spinner