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Relation between Stock Market and Forex Market

Mar 10, 2021 06:30

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Stock trading and foreign exchange or “forex” trading, are similar in that they depend on taking advantage of constantly changing prices – but that’s where the similarities largely end. Understanding the differences between forex and stock trading can help you to decide whether one type of trading may be more suitable to your goals and style as a trader than the other. Forex traders are always looking for trends and economic outlooks to predict the potential movement in a currency. Some look at economic reports, the gross domestic product (GDP), or trade relations, but you might be able to predict these reports using the equity markets. Equity markets have thousands of firms around the world producing hundreds of reports every day that can be a useful source of information for currency traders.

In this article, we’ll cover the correlation of Stock market and forex market. Here we have given detail many ways in which it differs from equities trading.

Stock Market trading is different from Forex trading

While you may already be aware of what stocks are and how they work, a refresher never hurts. A stock is an investment security that represents an ownership share in the company it’s issued by. When you purchase a stock in a business or corporation, that equity makes you a shareholder. Stocks are typically bought, sold, and traded on stock exchanges, such as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ.

You can make a profit on stocks by receiving regular dividend payments, (if a company’s stock issues them), or by selling your shares on the stock market for a higher price than you bought them. While some stocks are riskier than others, this type of security often makes up the majority of investors’ portfolios. Most stocks see the best performance when held for a longer period of time, as in many years, so they have time to recover from possible short-term market volatility.

The foreign exchange markets are truly a global market; bigger than any other securities market. So when thinking about equities and their influence on forex markets, you truly have to think globally. The best companies to consider are naturally the ones with international operations that transact in various currencies. For example, as the biggest retailer on the planet, Walmart deals with foreign exchange issues just as much as any other company you could think of. Another great name is Coca-Cola. These global consumer stocks transact with consumers all over the world and provide the best corporate glimpse into the forex market.

The commodities market can also be useful with respect to the forex market. Consider the main global commodity, crude oil. Global oil prices are denominated in U.S. dollars. As an example, the price of oil can spike because the value of the U.S. dollar declines relative to major global currencies. So the price of oil has to go up in order to equalize the price that other foreign countries buy in their home currencies. While other global commodities—sugar, corn, and wheat—offer similar insights, oil is the most significant commodity that relates to the foreign exchange markets.

A major equity market can also influence forex markets in another way. A weak currency favors exporters in that particular country. When your domestic currency is weak, exports are cheaper abroad. That helps fuel the growth and profits of those exporters. When earnings are growing, equity markets tend to do well. Of course, the situation is most likely to occur in equity markets backed by the major global currencies: the U.S. dollar, the yen, the euro, and the British pound, among others.

While stocks may be traded globally, the market for equities is largely national rather than international. Forex, on the other hand, operates on a global market. This is aided by the fact that forex trading occurs 24 hours a day, so that it is possible for forex traders to trade across any currency depending on the time of day and what brokers are active. On the other hand, while there are typically thousands of stocks to choose from on a single exchange, forex trading revolves largely around 18 pairs of currencies that have particularly high liquidity. The 18 pairs of high liquidity currencies are USD/CAD, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, GBP/USD, NZD/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY, EUR/CAD, EUR/AUD, EUR/JPY, EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, AUD/CAD, GBP/CHF, GBP/JPY, CHF/JPY, AUD/JPY, AUD/NZD. So these are all the mostly traded pairs.

Forex and Share markets are entirely different markets; there is a significant relationship between the stocks and the forex market. The performance of the domestic currency is directly correlated to the performance of the country’s stock market. When a country’s stock market performs well, there will be capital inflows from foreign investors who intend to earn higher returns.

To invest in the domestic economy, the foreign investors will have to convert their money into local currency; hence, increasing the domestic currency demand in the forex market. In turn, the value of the domestic currency will also increase.

Conversely, when the stock market is on a downtrend, it will result in capital flight by foreign investors who want to avoid further losses. The capital flight can also result from foreign investors’ profit-taking when they believe that the stock market has reached its peak. When exiting the domestic stock market, the foreign investors convert their capital to other currencies, which results in an increase in supply in the forex market hence depreciation. Furthermore, when the stock markets open, it coincides with the Forex market hours in different time zones. During these forex sessions, forex pairs with the domestic currency experience higher liquidity than when the local stock markets are closed.

Forex market is a huge ocean of institutions, investors and consumers trading currencies. Movements in the market reflect the total demand for one currency relative to other currencies.

Currencies only rise or drop relative to other currencies. When people say the pound is weak, they’re speaking in reference to other major currencies. So, for instance, the pound could drop in value relative to dollars, while remaining the same against some other currencies.

There are lots of factors that influence currency movements, including:

  • Whether a currency is inflationary (i.e. loses buying power over time)
  • Central bank interest rates (relative to interest rates in other countries)
  • Consumer demand for spending in that currency
  • Whether a country imports or exports more
  • Simple trading momentum in the short-term
  • Demand for assets and investments priced in that currency

 

To apply these factors to the recent pound decline: if investors don’t want to buy UK-denominated assets, like property or UK government debt, or invest in the UK, then the demand for pounds goes down.

If consumers and companies don’t want to or can’t import as much from the UK, then the demand for pounds could go down too. All this means that currency performance can often (but not always) reflect the world’s opinion of a country’s economic future.

That’s not necessarily what’ll happen, but these sorts of predictions seem to be the calculation the market is making right now, or at least what they fear. In theory, currency moves should have a balancing aspect. When currencies weaken because of economic concerns and lack of demand for assets and exports, that makes those assets and exports relatively cheaper, stimulating demand again.

Similarities between Forex and Stocks

Although forex and stock trading are marked mostly by their differences, they do share some characteristics in common. Both forex and stock trading involve taking advantage of short-term shifts in prices to generate profit, and in the process entail risk that the stock or currency you are holding will fall in value from the purchase price rather than rise. In addition, much like stock trading, forex traders rely heavily on technical analysis in order to identify probably price movements and inform trading behavior. Finally, trading both forex and stocks requires a strong fundamental understanding of how markets work and practice in order to turn a consistent profit.

Forex markets are complex dynamic markets. Equities can be useful indicators, but investors should be aware that equities alone may not be sufficient to provide an accurate assessment. This serves as a reminder that we should always take into account fundamentals, technical’s, and market sentiment, so always read up! Don’t take correlations for granted because they aren’t a sure-fire thing!

Happy Trading!

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